--- - |2+ Abstract Background In a community sample of slow‐to‐talk toddlers, we aimed to (a) quantify how well maternal responsive behaviors at age 2 years predict language ability at age 4 and (b) examine whether maternal responsive behaviors more accurately predict low language status at age 4 than does expressive vocabulary measured at age 2 years. Design or Methods Prospective community‐based longitudinal study. At child age 18 months, 1,138 parents completed a 100‐word expressive vocabulary checklist within a population survey; 251 (22.1%) children scored ≤20th percentile and were eligible for the current study. Potential predictors at 2 years were (a) responsive language behaviors derived from videotaped parent–child free‐play samples and (b) late‐talker status. Outcomes were (a) Clinical Evaluation of Language Fundamentals—Preschool Second Edition receptive and expressive language standard score at 4 years and (b) low language status (standard score > 1.25 standard deviations below the mean on expressive or receptive language). Results Two hundred eight (82.9% of 251) participants were retained to age 4. In adjusted linear regression analyses, maternal expansions predicted higher receptive (p < 0.001, partial R2 = 6.5%) and expressive (p < 0.001, partial R2 = 7.7%), whereas labels predicted lower receptive (p = 0.01, partial R2 = 2.8%) and expressive (p = 0.007, partial R2 = 3.5%) language scores at 4. The logistic regression model containing only responsive behaviors achieved “fair” predictive ability of low language status at age 4 (area under curve [AUC] = 0.79), slightly better than the model containing only late‐talker status (AUC = 0.74). This improved to “good” predictive ability with inclusion of other known risk factors (AUC = 0.82). Conclusion A combination of short measures of different dimensions, such as parent responsive behaviors, in addition to a child's earlier language skills increases the ability to predict language outcomes at age 4 to a precision that is approaching clinical value. Research to further enhance predictive values should be a priority, enabling health professionals to identify which slow‐to‐talk toddlers most likely will or will not experience later poorer language. - 'Child: Care, Health and Development, Volume 44, Issue 5, Page 776-783, September 2018.
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