MetaTOC stay on top of your field, easily

Consumption Volatility Risk

,

The Journal of Finance

Published online on

Abstract

We show that time‐variation in macroeconomic uncertainty affects asset prices. Consumption volatility is a negatively priced source of risk for a wide variety of test portfolios. At the firm level, exposure to consumption volatility risk predicts future returns, generating a spread across quintile portfolios in excess of 7% annually. This premium is explained by cross‐sectional differences in the sensitivity of dividend volatility to consumption volatility. Stocks with volatile cash flows in uncertain aggregate times require higher expected returns. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.