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Democracy, ethnic fractionalisation, and the politics of social spending: Disentangling a conditional relationship

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International Political Science Review

Published online on

Abstract

In the past decade, a long list of studies has documented the positive relationship between democracy and social spending. Other studies have shown a negative relationship between ethnic fractionalisation and social spending. So far, the two strands of literature have developed independently of each other. In this article, we present a class-coalition argument that links them, arguing that ethnic fractionalisation influences the effect of democracy on social spending. We test the argument in a large-N study. In line with our expectations, the findings show that democracy leads to higher levels of social spending, but only in relatively homogenous countries.