An Analysis of the Risk‐Return Characteristics of Serially Correlated Managed Futures
Published online on February 04, 2016
Abstract
We investigate the implications of low but persistent serial correlation in Managed Futures' returns for portfolio management. Using a measure based on the unweighted sum of autocorrelations, we find that more positively autocorrelated Managed Futures exhibit distinctly different risk‐return profiles and outperform, on a risk‐adjusted basis, Managed Futures that exhibit lower degrees of serial correlation. The observed premium is unlikely to be explained by a concentration in certain strategies, fund size and age, attrition or delisting bias, and does not seem to hamper Managed Futures' portfolio benefits as a tail‐risk hedge. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 36:992–1013, 2016