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Dynamic Correlation Between Stock Returns And Exchange Rate And Its Dependence On The Conditional Volatilities – The Case Of Several Eastern European Countries

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Bulletin of Economic Research

Published online on

Abstract

The objective of the paper is to determine whether the linkage between stock returns and exchange rates in several Eastern European countries was in accordance with the flow oriented model or the portfolio‐balance approach. The dynamic interdependence between exchange rate and stock returns is determined using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) framework. The results pointed to a negative dynamic correlation which is in line with portfolio‐balance approach. Rolling regression revealed that conditional correlation was affected primarily by conditional volatility of currency, while the impact of stock returns volatility was negligible.