Polarization, Number of Parties, and Voter Turnout: Explaining Turnout in 26 OECD Countries*
Published online on February 10, 2017
Abstract
Objectives
The objective of this study is to explore how party systems can affect turnout by exploring the conditional effect of number of parties and party polarization on democracies.
Methods
Using Comparative Manifesto Project data from 26 democracies, this study develops a measure of party systems that interacts party polarization and number of parties to explain turnout.
Results
Findings show that the composition of the party system as a whole is a key determinate of a voter's propensity to vote. Highly polarized systems with few parties spur individuals to vote, while low levels of polarization and many parties reduce incentives to vote.
Conclusions
Results have important implications for theories of turnout, resolving the confusion surrounding how party systems affect political participation.