Asymmetric Option Returns in China
Published online on March 09, 2026
Abstract
["Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView. ", "\nABSTRACT\nThis paper documents two return asymmetries in China's options market: call (put) returns are positive (negative) overnight but negative (positive) intraday. We provide a demand‐pressure‐based explanation for this phenomenon, identifying retail investors' gambling motives as the primary catalyst, which are particularly salient following negative realizations of underlying returns. Additionally, insurance‐driven demand accounts for the negative overnight put returns, while attention‐driven demand contributes to the night‐day asymmetry in call returns. Despite institutional investors exploiting these mispricings, the asymmetries persist over time, leaving retail investors to bear losses as counterparties.\n"]