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Sovereign CDS Spread and Term Structure Forecasting Based on Neural Network

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Global Business Review

Published online on

Abstract

Global Business Review, Ahead of Print.
The article aims to forecast credit risk for BRICS countries using daily credit default swaps (CDS) spreads obtained from Datastream data base from 2018 to 2023. Our approach consists, first, of forecasting the CDS spread in order to estimate the ...