Breaking the noise barrier: A filtered framework for decomposition-based renewable energy forecasting

Mehmet Balci, Ugur Yuzgec, Emrah Dokur, Department of Information Technologies, Bilecik Seyh Edebali University, Department of Computer Engineering, Bilecik Seyh Edebali University, Department of Electrical Electronics Engineering, Bilecik Seyh Edebali University

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part A: Journal of Power and Energy

Published online on July 23, 2026

Abstract

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part A: Journal of Power and Energy, Ahead of Print.
This study introduces a novel framework, Breaking the Noise Barrier, for enhancing renewable energy forecasting through decomposition-based models. By systematically excluding the first Intrinsic Mode Function (IMF) component, which may contain high-...