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Implementation and Validation of “SER-DesVi”: An Empirical System for Assessing the Police Risk of Injury, Suicide and Homicide in Cases of Missing Persons

European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research

Published online on

Abstract

{"p"=>{"__content__"=>"This research presents the development and validation of police assessment forms for the risk of injury, suicide, and homicide in cases of missing persons that are part of the SER-DesVi system. To meet the study objectives, 1,111 cases were analysed, divided into some analytical case groups (injury, suicide and homicide,  = 260) and a control case group (good health,  = 851). A retrospective study was proposed to study the predictive capacity of the system, and a cross-validation model using the K-Fold approach was proposed to study its performance. The analysis strategies focused on studying the ROC curves and the discrimination and calibration parameters. The findings empirically show that SER-DesVi, constructed using a specific set of characteristic indicators, is a useful, valid and effective system for assessing the risk of the missing person suffering injuries or dying by suicide or homicide during the disappearance.", "i"=>[{"__content__"=>"n"}, {"__content__"=>"n"}]}}