MetaTOC stay on top of your field, easily

Preemptive Entry and Technology Diffusion: The Market for Drive‐In Theaters

, , ,

The RAND Journal of Economics

Published online on

Abstract

["The RAND Journal of Economics, EarlyView. ", "\nABSTRACT\nThis article studies entry preemption in new industries. We first test a key prediction of dynamic entry games: Entry preemption is most relevant in intermediate‐sized markets, where firms face highest uncertainty about future entry. Using US drive‐in theater market (1945–1957) data, we find robust evidence for this non‐monotonic relationship between market size and early entry probability. We then estimate a dynamic entry game, and quantify preemption effects through counterfactual analysis. Preemptive motives increase early entry by up to 40% in mid‐size markets, raising entry costs by 5% and reducing firms' expected value by 1%."]